Understanding Crypto Markets

Navigate volatility with knowledge, not emotion. Halving cycles, ETF flows, on-chain analysis, predictive frameworks and their failures, and the major events that shaped crypto markets — with verified 2024-2026 data.

3 lessons · 47 min · advanced

1. 1Crypto Market Mechanics: Cycles, Volatility, and Modern StructureWhy crypto is volatile, the halving cycle theory, the spot ETF era, and how to think about markets without falling into hype or fear.10 min
2. 2On-Chain Analysis 101A practical introduction to on-chain analytics: Glassnode metrics (MVRV, SOPR, NUPL), CryptoQuant exchange flows, Nansen smart money tracking, Arkham entity attribution, Dune Analytics, DefiLlama TVL, and Token Terminal — and how to use them to evaluate cycle position.15 min
3. 3Predictive Frameworks (and Their Failures)A critical look at the price-prediction models popular in crypto: Stock-to-Flow, Pi Cycle Top, MVRV Z-Score, Mayer Multiple, Wyckoff, log regression bands. What worked, what failed, and what survives honest scrutiny.22 min

Educational only — not financial advice.