Galaxy Cuts Odds of Clarity Act Passing in 2026 to Just 50% — Here's Why Senate Gridlock Could Stall Crypto Regulation
43d ago · 1 source
Galaxy Research has reduced its probability estimate for the Clarity Act passing in 2026 from a higher figure down to 50%, citing dwindling Senate floor time as the key obstacle. The Clarity Act, a major piece of proposed crypto legislation, faces an increasingly tight legislative calendar as lawmakers juggle competing priorities. The downgrade signals growing uncertainty about whether the U.S. will establish a comprehensive crypto regulatory framework this year.
WHY IT MATTERS
Think of the Clarity Act like a rulebook that would finally tell crypto companies which government referee — the SEC or the CFTC — is in charge of overseeing different types of digital assets. Right now, it's like playing a sport where two different refs are blowing their whistles with different rules, creating confusion for everyone. Galaxy, a major crypto research and investment firm, just said there's only a 50/50 chance this rulebook gets finished in 2026 because the Senate simply doesn't have enough time on its schedule. For everyday crypto users and investors, this means the confusing regulatory environment in the U.S. could drag on longer, which affects everything from which tokens get listed on exchanges to how comfortable big institutions feel about entering the space.
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