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Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Are Barely Selling — And a Halving Model Just Flagged a New Market Bottom Date

(101 days ago) · 1 source · Summarized by CryptoBipto

Selling activity among multi-year Bitcoin holders has dropped to its lowest level in 19 months, signaling strong conviction among experienced investors. Meanwhile, a halving-based market cycle model is pointing to a potential new bottom date, suggesting the current phase may represent a key accumulation window.

WHY IT MATTERS

Think of long-term Bitcoin holders like homeowners who've lived in their house for years. If none of them are putting their homes on the market, it usually means they believe property values are going up — not down. That's essentially what's happening here: experienced Bitcoin investors are holding tight, which historically has been a bullish sign. The 'halving' is a built-in event where Bitcoin's new supply gets cut in half, kind of like a factory suddenly producing half as many widgets. Past halvings have kicked off major price increases, and a model tracking these cycles is now suggesting the market may be near a bottom — meaning this could be a good time for accumulation before prices potentially climb.

The decline in selling pressure from long-term Bitcoin holders is a historically significant signal. When seasoned holders — often referred to as 'diamond hands' — stop selling, it typically indicates they believe prices have further room to rise or that current levels don't justify taking profits.

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BTCBitcoin HalvingOn-Chain AnalysisLong-Term HoldersMarket CyclesAccumulation