Monte Carlo Simulation Study Projects Bitcoin Could Reach $1M by 2033

WHY IT MATTERS

A Monte Carlo simulation is like rolling dice thousands of times to see what outcomes are most common. In this case, researchers used Bitcoin's historical price behavior to run 10,000 hypothetical future scenarios on a computer. The middle result (the median) pointed to $1 million by 2033. However, this is not a prediction — it is a mathematical exercise. The results change depending on what assumptions you start with, much like how changing the rules of a board game changes who is likely to win. Simulations like these can help illustrate a range of possibilities, but they cannot account for unexpected events, regulatory changes, or shifts in technology that could dramatically alter outcomes.