Bitcoin Volatility Stays Low as Supply in Profit Approaches Historical Transition Level
3h ago · 1 source · Summarised by CryptoBipto — how we make this
Analysts have noted that Bitcoin's price volatility remains subdued while the percentage of Bitcoin supply held at a profit is approaching a level that has historically coincided with transitions between bear and bull market phases. The observation is based on on-chain data tracking the proportion of coins currently worth more than their last purchase price.
WHY IT MATTERS
Think of 'supply in profit' like checking how many homeowners in a neighborhood could sell their house for more than they paid. When a large percentage of Bitcoin holders are sitting on gains, it can change how people behave — some may sell to lock in profits, while others may feel more confident about the market. 'Volatility' refers to how much the price swings up and down; low volatility means the price has been relatively stable. Analysts study these patterns from Bitcoin's past to try to understand where the market might be in its cycle, but historical patterns are not reliable predictors of the future. For newcomers, this story illustrates how crypto analysts use blockchain data — which is publicly available — to gauge market conditions, a practice known as 'on-chain analysis.'
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Plain-English explanations of the subjects this article touches, with every term defined.
- What is cryptocurrency, and how does it work?A plain-English explanation of cryptocurrency, blockchains, coins, tokens, mining and staking, with a definition page for every term used.
- What is on-chain analysis, and what can blockchain data show?On-chain analysis explained — exchange inflows and outflows, active addresses, hash rate, MVRV and NVT ratios, and what each measurement can and cannot tell you.
