Galaxy Research Finds 70% of Polymarket Retail Traders Lost Money

WHY IT MATTERS

Prediction markets like Polymarket work a bit like betting platforms: you wager money on whether something will happen, such as who will win an election or whether a certain economic event will occur. If you are right, you earn a payout; if you are wrong, you lose your stake. This research from Galaxy Digital shows that most everyday users — called retail traders — ended up losing money. Think of it like a poker table: while the game is open to everyone, experienced players with better strategies and more information tend to win more often. For anyone new to crypto or prediction markets, this is a reminder that participating in these platforms involves real financial risk, and most casual participants may not come out ahead.